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Sunday, 0 August 2006
Price history tells us when securities are overbought or oversold.
Posted at Sunday, 0 August 2006, 12: AM, Categorised as Stock
Overbought condition means the price point when buyers will be replaced by sellers for a position in that stock. An oversold
condition means the price point when sellers will be replaced by more buyers who are bargain hunting or bottom fishing for
profit opportunities. In economics, they call it the battle between "supply vs. demand." It stands up to reasoning.
By carefully reviewing any stock chart profile you can better estimate those price support and price resistance levels to
help you handle your trading decisions and to exploit those profit opportunities. Regardless, if you are writing covered
calls, buying and trading options, stripping dividends, or even writing LEAPs, you can apply this professionally used
information to your advantage.
Now, let's take a closer look at exactly what happens in the real world and how the outcomes translate to price plots or
points on a stock chart.
Support (bottom price support) indicates a price level on a stock chart profile where we can expect an increase in the demand
for a security (the weak sellers fold and the buyers take over). How do we know this? By identifying this previous documented
reaction to a price level in the chart's history. You see, if we astutely look at most charts, we see that for any stock
there are certain price levels where the selling pressure subsides (slows down) and the price trend shifts and reverses as
stock price increases. When this happens, we can assume that this price level will retain its significance when in the future
the price approaches that level again.
I should stress that all recorded plots at the end of the day represent investor's or institutional capital buying and
selling net results. It is as factual as your chest x-ray.A bottom price point is known as the price support level, because
the securities price is supported at this level and the stock recovers. Conversely, the overhead price resistance is the
level where the securities price has shown an inability to rise anymore, and a reversal to the downside can be expected. The
RSI technical indicator is the perfect tool to review for that price level.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Larry Potter is a recognized authority on the subject of trading
and has been publishing his newsletter, Stocks2Watch
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